All posts under "Research"

Hi Folks .auto-style7 { font-family: Verdana; font-size: small; } .auto-style9 { font-size: small; } .auto-style10 { font-family: Verdana; } The 2024 Advanced Scoring Weights Hi Folks, If you play in a Rotisserie league, our Draft Advisory software is designed...

What if I told you that this Coronavirus (COVID-19), might be susceptible to one of the most common minerals on planet earth? What if I told you that mineral, is already on the shelves and widely available around the world? ...

Freddie Freeman, Atlanta Braves - Freeman has joked this spring about being in the best shape of his life, but in his case, he might mean it. Freeman underwent a cleanup procedure on his right elbow after the season and...

Happy Sunday Everyone! On today's SiriusXM show, myself and Lou Blasi will start dissecting Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP) for hitters and look at the players who have seen the biggest changes versus their career levels so far...

Happy Saturday Everyone! On today's SiriusXM show, myself and Lou Blasi will start dissecting left on-base percentage (LOB%) and the pitchers who are over-achieving and under-achieving so far in 2019. If you're unfamiliar with LOB%, check out the column I...

Happy Saturday Everyone! On today's SiriusXM show, myself and Lou Blasi will start dissecting the first statistic that has met enough prerequisites to become reliable: strikeout rate (K%)! Based on research from some very smart people (see here), we have...

For the last several seasons, I've published an article deep diving into HR/FB rate for offensive players and have developed a living model to help me decipher which players have "earned" their HR/FB rates and which players have either over...

Contact percentage, like many of the plate discipline statistics, is like the Shohei Ohtani of sabermetrics - it plays both sides! While contact percentage is a useful statistic for measuring a pitcher's effectiveness, it's also an excellent way to measure...

Strand rate, or left on base percentage (LOB%), measures the percentage of baserunners a pitcher leaves on base over the course of an entire season. At its core, strand rate is simply a measure of the number of runners that...

The biggest story of the 2018 baseball season, at least in advanced analytic circles, was what in the world was going on with hard hit percentage? After years of climbing home run totals with relatively flat hard hit percentage movement,...

Welcome to the first Prospect Central of the year! Each week we profile prospects that are expected to have an impact on the fantasy landscape with industry leading depth and insight: Amir Garrett, LHP, Reds Amir Garrett's MLB debut on...

Dodgers Rotation Current projection: Clayton Kershaw, Kenta Maeda, Rich Hill, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Brandon McCarthy Other possibilities: Scott Kazmir, Alex Wood, Ross Stripling, Julio Urias (May/June) Things are starting to sort themselves out. Right now, the Opening Day rotation projects...

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. The past has shown us that pitchers have a more difficult time reverting to their historical mean. Especially...

NL Player Roundup for April 27th, 2013 including Anthony Rizzo's power surge, Kyle Kendrick's rise to prominence and Homer Bailey's wasted gem.

National League roundup for all the action on April 26th, 2013. Three closers job security, Ryan Howard's reemergence and a rookie pitcher's memorable performance in the Big Apple.

National League review for April 20, 2013. Commentary on Matt Harvey, Ike Davis, Pedro Alvarez, Roy Halladay and Wandy Rodriguez.

National League fantasy strategy, player commentary and research for April 13th, 2013.

Updated Pitcher Rankings

One of my favorite indicators is our BHIP or Singles Average calculation. Singles Average (BHIPx%) - defined as the success percentage of batted balls hit into play (Singles/(AB-K-2B-3B-HR)).  The typical percentage for singles is around .250. Every year there are...

Lets face it, it's a dilemma that many Fantasy GMs face on draft day: How valuable is speed in relation to power. Let's start by examining how Rotisserie values a Stolen Base verses a Home Run:

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. The past has shown us that pitchers have a more difficult time reverting to their historical mean....

fantasy baseball season rankings 2011

The Inconsistent Player Several years ago we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. We run and update this piece every season because...

Last week we discussed the shift we've seen from pitchers in this post PEDs era. Today we're going to look at what's happening on the offensive side. Like Yin and Yang, what happens on one side must also affect...

In our continuing series on player recommendations, the latest edition of Strategy Manager + highlights the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production this season. The under and over producers are listed according to their projected rankings through...

UMA - Undervalued Mound Aces.  A situation predicated by a market condition in the fantasy community where: TOP TIER PITCHERS are discounted beyond reasonable ration.  Yes pitchers are more injury prone thus offering less predictability, however they are being...

Hi Folks, The first spring training sites have officially opened! Most importantly player news is starting to trickle in (down below). Before we get to it, lets visit a topic which is possibly related to the decline in offensive production:...

Hi folks, as we all know the second portion of the season is pivotal in our quest to have an admirable finish. I always say that you need two things to win a fantasy championship: Skill & the absence...

With the half way point here, it's time to look at the production (rankings) we expect from the top 300 position players in the second half of 2009. Subscribing to the regression to the mean concept (the statistical term referring...

In our continuing series on the the "Over" and "Under" producers, presented is the June Hitter's edition. As we mentioned in the last report, all Major League Players hit hot and cold stretches during the season....and since our first report...

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. I want to start this year's Pitcher segment by saying: historically pitchers have a much more difficult...

In today’s belated edition of Sabermetric Tuesday we’re going to talk about the most unheralded aspect of Fantasy Baseball: Defense. In traditional or “real” sports the cliché “Defense wins Championships” is one of the most commonly used phrases throughout the...

Second Half Rankings Pitchers Edition (Posted 7/02/08)Every season we come across players who unexplainably perform at higher or lower levels during certain periods of the season.  One possible explanation behind the phenomena: second half "positive trends" are due to...

With the half way point officially upon us, it's a good time to look at the production (rankings) we expect from the top 300 position players in the second half of 2008. Subscribing to the regression to the mean...

At the end of April we introduced the concept of the Disaster Start and took a look back at the 2007 data in hopes of highlighting some “safer” spot-start or back-end options for your fantasy team. So today we’re going...

In this week’s edition of Sabermetric Tuesdays we’re going to take a look at one of my favorite indicators for Pitchers: the Runners Stranded Percentage. The Runners Stranded Percentage is a pretty simple statistics to understand, it’s simply measuring the...