Paul Sauberer is one of the original Fantistics Analysts. Paul is a diehard fantasy baseball fan with political aspirations. Paul's earliest baseball memories are of the expansion Senators in the 1960s and his father buying him an entire box of 1969 Topps baseball cards. The Senators are no longer and the cards are definitely no longer in mint condition, but Paul's love of baseball continues. He transferred allegiance to the Orioles after the Senators left town and enjoyed the glorious times of the Birds in the 1970s. During that time, he also discovered table top baseball games (before "Rotisserie" meant anything outside of something to do with food) and that has led to decades of crunching numbers and following major league performances. Paul reacquainted himself with the Senators, now the Texas Rangers, while going to college in Texas and remains a Rangers' fan today, even after living on Long Island for 14 years with his wife and two children. Paul knows his baseball!
Christian Walker- 1B- ARI- Stats- Walker lost the month of August due to an oblique strain but has put up decent numbers for the season, He is slashing .252/.337/.474 with 26 homers in 526 PAs. His homer per PA is...
Joe Musgrove- P- SD- Hot- Musgrove bounced back last night from a bad start in his previous outing to toss his 4th quality start in 5 outings. He threw 6 shutout IPs, allowing 3 hits, walking none, and striking out...
Clarke Schmidt- P- NYY- Hot- Schmidt came off the Il and tossed 4.2 shutout IP against the Cubs. He threw 75 pitches, 44 of them strikes. Schmidt gave up 4 hits, walked 1, and struck out 2. He matched his...
Ryan O'Hearn- OF- BAL- Hot- O'Hearn picked up his second straight multi-hit game by going 2-for-3 with a walk and 2 RBI last night. For the season he is slashing .274/.352/.452 with 12 homers in 364 PAs. O'Hearn has showed...
Ben Joyce- RP- LAA- Rise Value- Joyce may have turned a corner. His stuff has been phenomenal, but control has been an issue. Last night he earned his first MLB save by retiring all 4 batters he faced in the...
Nestor Cortes- P- NYY- Cold- Over his last 3 starts against them, the Rays have been Cortes' kryptonite. Across a total of 14 IP he allowed 15 runs on 20 hits and 7 hits while striking out 10. Cortes gave...
Joe Ryan- P- MIN- Hot- As with his previous start, Ryan was one out away from a quality start. On June 30 he allowed 1 ER in 5.2 IP. Yesterday Ryan gave up 3 runs in 5.2 IP on 5...
Brenton Doyle- OF- COL- Hot- Doyle went 3-for-4 with 2 homers, 3 runs, 3 RBI, a steal, and a walk. He has 9 homers, only one fewer than the 10 he hit in his rookie season in 2023. Doyle has...
Jon Gray- P- TEX- Hot- Gray gave up 9 runs in his previous disastrous outing. He bounced back in a big way yesterday, blanking the Royals for 6 IP, allowing 2 hits, walking none, and striking out 3. Gray had...
Anthony Santander- OF- BAL- Hot- Santander slugged 2 homers yesterday to give him 17 for the season. He has hit 8 homers so far in the month of June. Santander started slow in 2024 but his EV and HardHit% have...
Nathan Eovaldi- P- TEX- Hot- Eovaldi picked up his first win in 3 starts since coming off the IL. He allowed 2 runs on 5 hits and a walk while striking out 5 in 7 IP. In the 3 post-IL...
Brice Turang- 2B- MIL- Hot- Turang stole his 19th base of the season yesterday. He has not been caught since July 4 of last year and is working on a string of 36 successful steals. Turang is slashing .301/.356/.429 so...
William Contreras- C- MIL- Idea- Contreras' performance this season has put his name in early MVP talk. He is slashing .353/.430/.543 with 6 homers in 200 PAs. Contreras owns a 94.4 EV and 60.3% HardHit%. His LA is only 6.9...
Paul Skenes- P- PIT- Rookie- You may not have noticed that this obscure minor leaguer made his MLB debut yesterday. Just kidding. Skenes is the most anticipated pitching prospect since, arguably, Stephen Strasburg. Skenes threw 84 pitches, 54 of them...
John Means- P- BAL- Hot- Means had a stellar injury-delayed 2024 MLB debut. He tossed 7 shutout IPs, allowing just 3 hits, walking no one, and striking out 8. He had an inconsistent rehab record but did the same 7...
Bo Bichette- SS- TOR- Cold- Bichette went 0-for-4 with a K yesterday and is slashing .208/.264/.307 with 1 homer for the season. His EV of 88.1is down from 90.2 and his HardHit% has also dropped from 44.9% to 37.8%. Bichette's...
Alex Bregman- 3B- HOU- Cold- Bregman went 0-for-4 yesterday, dropping his slash line 20 .213/.302/ 280. He has only 5 extra base hits (all doubles) in 86 PAs. Bregman is still walking at a solid clip of 11.6% and his...
Salvador Perez- C- KC- Hot- Perez went 1-for-4 with his 3rd homer of the season last night. He is slashing .327/.362/.509 with 11 RBI and 7 runs scored for the season. Perez has a 90.1 EV, the same as last...
If you are of a certain age, the title of this report likely prompted fanfare from the 1986 Europe song appearing in your mind. If it doesn't come to you, that's what the Internet is for. We are now a...
We're now less than three weeks away from Opening Day (less than two weeks away from the Seoul opener for the Dodgers and Padres.) Rosters are taking shape. Injuries are projecting into impact on the season. Time is getting shorter...
Result stats like BA, wOBA, and SLG will rarely correlate exactly to analytics measurements like xBA, xwOBA, and xSLG. When the difference is wide during a season, that can indicate that there will be a regression the following season. The...
Looking For Regression- Pitchers Edition Result stats like ERA will rarely correlate exactly to analytics measurements like xERA, FIP, and xFIP. When the difference is wide during a season, that can indicate that there will be a regression the following...
Adolis Garcia- OF- TEX- Stats- Garcia has exceeded his homer expectations by a good margin this year. He was projected to hit 29 homers and he is at 39. Garcia has a 92.2 EV and 50.0% HardHit%. His Barrel% has...
Aaron Judge- OF- NYY- Stats- Injuries have greatly impacted Judge in 2023. His slash line of .259/.394/.588 with 32 homers in 406 PAs are very good but not up to the standard he set in 2022 of .311/.425/.686 with 62...
Lars Nootbaar- OF- STL- Stats- Nootbaar went 0-for-1 yesterday but drew 3 walks. It gives him a BB% of 14.8% for the season. Nootbaar's slash line is .273/.388/.443 so his OBP and OPS are helpful in leagues that count those....
Jasson Dominguez- OF- NYY- Rookie- Dominguez lived up to the hype of his MLB arrival. In his first MLB PA he homered off Justin Verlander. He didn't get any other hits, but that first one was notable. Dominguez will likely...
Tyler Glasnow- P- TB- Hot- Despite throwing only 49 of 85 pitches for strikes, Glasnow got some solid results yesterday. He tossed 6 scoreless IP, allowing 1 hit and walking 2 while striking out 4 in 6 IP. Glasnow has...
Julio Rodriguez- OF- SEA- Great Player- Rodriguez has seen a massive amount of regression to the mean over the last week. After the Mariners' game on August 15 he was slashing .256/.319/.432 with a .318 BABIP. In the 5 games...
Brandon Woodruff- P- MIL- Hot- Woodruff had a successful return to the Milwaukee rotation. He last pitched in the majors on April 7 and then went down with a shoulder injury. Woodruff struck out the first 5 batters he faced,...
Nathaniel Lowe- 1B- TEX- Stats- Lowe went 1-for-2 with a homer and 2 walks. He is slashing .281/.370/.444 with 11 homers this season. In the 7 games since the All Star Game, Lowe has gone 11-for-24 with 2 homers, 9...
Giancarlo Stanton- OF- NYY- Cold- Stanton went 0-for-2 with a strikeout to drop his average below the Mendoza line to .199. He is only hitting .157 with 3 homers since coming back from the IL on June 2. In that...
Kyle Schwarber- OF- PHI- Stats- Schwarber hit a grand slam yesterday in his 2-for-5 day. He also walked and scored a total of 3 runs besides the 4 RBI he picked up from the slam. It was Schwarber's 22nd homer...
Sean Murphy- C- ATL- Hot- Murphy didn't need any time to adjust to being back in the starting lineup yesterday. He went 2-for-4 with a walk and RBI. Murphy had been relegated to bench availability for over a week due...
Blake Snell- P- SD- Hot- Snell dominated the Rays last night, throwing 6 shutout IP and giving up 2 hits, walking 3, and striking out 12. He has 7 quality starts in his 14 outings, but those he hasn't gotten...
Andrew McCutchen- OF- PIT- Stats- McCutchen went 1-for-3 with a walk yesterday. The hit was his 2000th for his career. In 2023 McCutchen is slashing .265/.381/.423 with 8 homers and 7 steals. His Statcast numbers are fairly close to those...
Alex Cobb- P- SF- Hot- Cobb bounced back in strong fashion from a poor start the last time out. Last night he threw 7.2 scoreless IP against the Orioles. Cobb threw 70 of 103 pitches for strikes and allowed 5...