Chris Bassitt-Blue Jays-SP Chris Bassitt went 3.2 IP and gave up 3 ER on 7 H, 3 BB, and 2 K's against the Rangers. Bassitt has a 4.16 ERA and 1.20 WHIP through 88.2 IP. He is exceeding expectations (4.36 SIERA) with a below-average strikeout rate (21% K). He is able to succeed because he limits walks (8% BB) and has been fortunate on balls in play (.250 BABIP). Unfortunately, for Bassitt owners it looks like the best has already happened, and that regression is going to set in soon. He still needs to be started and rostered but don't be surprised if he experiences rough patches ahead. He does get an excellent matchup next week at home against the Athletics.
Gleyber Torres-Yankees-2B Gleyber Torres was 2-4 against the Red Sox. Torres is hitting .256 with 11 HR, 40 R, 28 RBI, and 6 SB. The good news is that he has shown improved plate skills (13% K and 10% BB), which isn't reflected in his overall line. Torres is in line for a huge rest of the season if he continues his current skills (10% BB, 13% K, 7% Barrels, and 38% FB). He has been hurt by a .255 BABIP which is much lower than his career .298 BABIP. Add in that the Yankees lineup should improve as everyone gets healthy around him and he should see his counting stats improve along with his batting average.
Jon Gray-Rangers-SP Jon Gray went 2.1 IP and gave up 6 ER on 6 H, 3 BB, and 2 K's against the Blue Jays. Gray has a 2.96 ERA and 1.05 WHIP through 76 IP. He has been dominant this year in terms of his ratios but the underlying skills are painting a different picture. Gray has been very fortunate on balls in play (.245 BABIP) and men left on base (82%). He sports a below-average strikeout rate (22% K) with good control (7% BB). His 4.22 SIERA was almost two full runs higher than his ERA which suggested that regression was going to hit hard as it did today. He has made a pitch mix change this year with an improved slider so there is a good chance that he exceeds his expected ERA but it is still going to be hard for him to maintain a sub-three ERA without elite core skills. He gets a tougher matchup in Yankee Stadium next week but with the Yankees being banged up he still needs to be started.
Luis Severino-Yankees-SP Luis Severino went 6 IP and gave up 5 ER on 7 H, 3 BB, and 6 K's against the Red Sox. Through 6 GS, Severino has a 6.30 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. He has struggled to miss bats (19% K and 10% SwStr) which is uncharacteristic of his career (27% K and 12% SwStr). He is showing normal velocity on his fastball (96 mph) but his offspeed pitches are all down in velocity. Severino doesn't have one pitch with a positive pitch value. Hitters have done a good job of making him come into the zone (24% O-swing and 55% Zone) which is another sign that his offspeed pitches are not fooling anyone. Severino has only thrown 125 IP since the start of 2019 so it is not a surprise that he is struggling with his breaking balls. This is something that can be fixed but unfortunately, he isn't startable until he shows improvement and we don't know when that will happen.
Jesus Luzardo-Marlins-SP Jesus Luzardo went 6 IP and gave up 2 ER on 5 H, 1 BB, and 5 K's against the Nationals. Luzardo hasn't been able to match his success from a year ago in terms of ratios (4.09 ERA and 1.25 WHIP) but that is primarily due to regression. He is sporting a .329 BABIP instead of .253. His 3.59 SIERA suggests that positive regression is likely to set in for the left-hander. His core skills (27% K, 6% BB, and 13% SwStr) all look great. The best is still yet to come for Luzardo and it doesn't hurt that he gets to pitch half his games in a very pitcher-friendly park.This is just a small sample our daily analysis, join our member area for tools that will help you win your fantasy championship. Click here for details: http://www.insiderbaseball.com/baseballsample.htm Click here to register: http://www.fantistics.com/salesbaseball.php3