Chance Sisco- C- BAL- Idea- In a season where hot streaks are valuable commodities, Sisco is on a tear. After going 2-for-4 last night with a homer, run scored, and 3 RBI he is now slashing .381/.536/.762. Sure, his BABIP is an incredible .750. But Sisco has increased his exit velocity from 89.5 last season to 96.6 this year and Hard Hit % from 39.6 to 50.0, so he is definitely hot right now. He is unlikely to continue this streak for the long term. However, if he is in the lineup today (not unlikely since he has started consecutive games 3 times this season, twice as DH in the second game) he will be facing the inconsistent Jake Arrieta. Arrieta had a .317/.393/.538 slash line against LH hitters in 2019 and gave up 14 homers in 61.1 IP against them. At a bargain price Sisco is a good bet to continue his blistering pace for at least one more game. Value Play- Draft Kings salary $3700
Dylan Cease- P- CHW- Hot- Cease has a 3-1 record with a 3.26 ERA after 4 starts. Underneath that things don't look as pretty. Yesterday he allowed just 1 earned run on 7 hits and walked none over 6 IP. Cease gave up 5 runs total, though, with 4 being unearned. Two of those hits were homers, giving him 5 allowed in 19.1 IP on the season. Cease has a K/9 of 6.52. His FIP of 6.19 shows that his early season streak is built on a lot of luck. Don't expect this to continue throughout the abbreviated season.
Robbie Grossman- OF- OAK- Hot- Over his career Grossman has his southpaws better than righties. In 2019 he performed better against RH pitching, bucking his career trend. This year Grossman has barely had any chances against southpaws. The switch hitter has walked both times he has faced a LH pitcher. Grossman has performed well when he has battled RH pitching this year which has led to his overall .311/.466/.600 slash line (which includes those two walks.) Grossman slugged his 3rd homer of the season yesterday and swiped his fourth base. He has a .333 BABIP, which is above his .316 career mark but not unprecedented for him. Grossman had an offseason last year but looks like he is going to contribute in multiple categories.
Carlos Carrasco- P- CLE- Cold- Carrasco had control issues for the second straight start and it cost him yesterday. Only 57 of his 103 pitches were for strikes. Carrasco did strike out 7 in his 4.1 IP (during which he was charged with 3 runs on 4 hits), but he also walked 5. That makes 9 free passes he has allowed in his last 10.1 IP. Last year Carrasco didn't walk more than 2 batters in any of his 12 starts. In 2018 he walked his season-high of 4 batters once (in a late season relief appearance) but in 30 starts walked 3 batters only twice. Carrasco's ERA sits at 3.22 but his FIP is at a less impressive 4.29. His K/9 is at 12.09, but unless he reduces his BB/9 to better than its current 4.43 his value will drop significantly.
Rafael Montero- RP- TEX- Hot- Montero made his fourth appearance of the season and it went like the other three. He faced three batters, retired them all, and earned a save. Montero also kept his K/9 at exactly 9.00 by getting a strikeout. The Rangers are on a 5-1 streak so Montero's solidifying of the closer role adds to his value. Texas will be playing the NL West-leading Rockies next so it may be tougher to get those save opportunities in the very near term.
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