Jhoulys Chacin- P- MIL- Idea- Chacin will be facing an injury-depleted Washington lineup that leans heavily righthanded. This plays into Chacin's strength. Last season he owned a .178/.244/.284 slash line against RH hitting. This year it is .235/.307/.426, not as good, but still solid and is a very small sample size of 19 IP. At this price, Chacin is a bargain. Value Play- raft Kings salary $6900
Manny Machado- SS- SD- Stats- Machado had his 5-game hitting streak snapped in his 0-for-4 game. However, he kept what might be a more important streak alive. For the 4th straight game, Machado did not strike out. It's the longest stretch this season for him without a K. Through May 1, Machado had a K% of 25.8%. for someone who had never finished a season with a mark higher than 19.2%, that was a significant increase. Machado's Contact% was down to 71.2% and his Swinging Strike% was 13.5%. His career Contact% is 80.3% and Swinging Strike% is 9.4%. Seeing Machado cutting down the Ks, combined with some regression to the mean expected from his current .253 BABIP should return his production to elite level.
Jeff Samardzjia- P- SF- FYI- Samardzjia threw 4 perfect IP yesterday. Unfortunately for him, they were the 2nd through the 5th. In the first, Samardzjia gave up 4 runs on 5 hits. He ended up throwing 86 pitches in 5 innings, 60 of which were strikes. He allowed 3 homers on three successive pitches in the first. His xFIP barely budged from the performance, going from 4.94 to 4.99. Samardzjia's ERA was not equally unscathed, as it rose from 2.53 to 3.16. It looks like some regression to the mean hit hard yesterday and he should not be counted on to post the kind of ERA he had in the early part of the season.
Jose Peraza- SS- CIN- Cold- Peraza went 1-for-4, his second hit in 5 games since a modest 5-game hitting streak ended. His average is south of the Mendoza line at .190. Peraza's ills are summed up as bad luck (.228 BABIP) and reduced plate discipline. His K% has jumped from 11% in 2018 to 22% so far this season. Peraza's Swinging Strike% has increased form last year's 6.0% to 8.5 % and his Contact% has dropped from 87.7% to 83.9%. He needs to stop chasing bad pitches (Outside Swing % up from 35.2% to 37.8% while his Outside Contact% has dropped from 76.1% to 64.9%.) Right now it looks like Peraza is lost at the plate. He has been amplifying the effects of bad luck. It's early enough to turn it around. He has to be watched to see if he is holding his own until regression to the mean kicks in or if he goes into a further tailspin. Watch that K%.
Ryan McMahon- 3B- COL- Hot- McMahon has extreme home/road splits, benefiting greatly from the Coors Field effect. After a 2-for-4 effort yesterday at home against Arizona, he is slashing .308/.400/.538 at Coors. Last year he was .309/.383/.521. Owning McMahon and playing him only when the Rockies are home looks like a good play.
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