Francisco Lindor-Indians-SS
Francisco Lindor was 3-5 with 2 R, 3 RBI, 1 SB against the Tigers. He is hitting .256 with 14 HR, 48 R, 43 RBI, and 4 SB. Lindor has not lived up to the expectations that were placed on him coming into the season. The counting stats are not that far off, but the batting average is a major disappointment. He has traded his line drive swing for more of a power stroke. His fly ball percentage has risen from 28% to 42%. This has hurt his batting average. Despite the low average, we are looking at a shortstop that could end up with close to 30 HR and 10 SB with decent counting stats. Now is the time to buy Lindor if possible.
Jordan Montgomery-Yankees-SP
Jordan Montgomery went 4.1 IP and gave up 2 ER on 7 H, 0 BB, and 4 K's against the Brewers. Through 16 starts he has a 3.65 ERA (4.39 xFIP) with 23% K and 8% BB. Montgomery has the ability to miss bats and has room for growth in his strikeout rate given that his SwStr is 13.5%, which is well above average. He does a good job getting ahead of hitters, which allows his four-pitch mix to play well. He also comes directly over the top giving the hitters a different angle and gives him deception. The American League East is not an easy division for pitchers, but Montgomery has the skills to maintain his current level of success.
Alex Bregman-Astros-3B
Alex Bregman was 1-5 with a run scored against the Blue Jays. He is hitting .259 with 8 HR, 37 R, 27 RBI, and 7 SB. The ratio stats are not great but he is on pace to come close to a 20 HR/15 SB season. His skills look good despite a .259 AVG. Bregman's strikeout rate is above average (17%) and so is his walk rate (9%). He is chasing less out of the zone this year than last. He is getting hot (.438 in July), which is just the right time for fantasy owners.
Jake Odorizzi-Rays-SP
Jake Odorizzi went 4.1 IP and gave up 7 ER on 8 H, 3 BB, and 5 K's against the Red Sox. Through 16 starts he has a 4.63 ERA (5.52 xFIP). Odorizzi's advanced stats paint a scary picture going forward. His strikeout rate is below average at 20% but his 11% SwStr means there could potentially be room for growth. He needs to get ahead in counts more frequently as 55% first pitch strikes is not going to allow his 11% swinging strike rate to play. He is giving up 36% Hard contact which in combination with his fly ball tendencies has resulted in 2.04 HR/9. Unfortunately, given his skills it's not a guarantee that his homerun problem is going to significantly regress. His home park is great but his underlying skills in the American League East is not a good combination going forward.
DFS Value Play
Ryan Zimmerman-Nationals-1B
Ryan Zimmerman's price represents a great value and has a plus matchup. He is hitting .332 with 19 HR and 62 RBI. Zimmerman is hitting the ball extremely hard (41% Hard) and this has translated to a .276 ISO. He will not have the platoon advantage against RHP Julio Teheran but this is not a problem. Zimmerman has been better against RHP this year (.408 wOBA and 152 wRC+). His price is just too low on Fanduel. Fanduel: $3,400
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