Joey Votto-Reds-1B
Joey Votto was 1-5 with a run and RBI against the Dodgers. Votto is enjoying another fine season. He is hitting .300 with 18 HR, 50 RBI, and 2 SB. The Reds lineup has been better than expected and as a result his counting stats have not taken a hit. He is also showing increased power numbers this year due to a career high 39.5% FB rate. Votto is showing increased power without sacrificing his excellent plate skills. He is striking out just 12% of the time with a 16% BB rate. Votto is a fantasy superstar in the midst of one his best seasons.
Antonio Senzatela-Rockies-SP
Antonio Senzatela went 4 IP and gave up 4 ER on 7 H, 2 BB, and 6 K's against the Cubs. Senzatela through 13 starts has a 3.84 ERA (4.43 xFIP). He is just 22 yrs. old and skipped over Triple-A. His skills suggest that he is pitching over his head and is due negative regression. He has plus velocity but he is primarily a two-pitch pitcher using his fastball and slider. Senzatela has good control (7% BB) and gets a decent amount of ground balls (46%) but he isn't many bats. He is striking out just 16% of batters and his 6.5% SwStr leaves a lot to be desired. Until he can develop his changeup into something more than a show me pitch he is going to struggle the second time through the league with just two pitches.
Jaime Garcia-Braves-SP
Jaime Garcia went 7 IP and gave up 2 ER on 7 H, 2 BB, and 9 K's against the Mets. Garcia through 12 starts has a 3.16 ERA (4.41 xFIP). He posted a 2.45 ERA in the month of May and 5 ER over 14.2 IP this month. The left-hander is getting 57% GB, which makes up for just 15% K. The positive is that he is getting 10% SwStr, so he could see growth in his strikeout rate. Garcia is never going to be a fantasy ace but he has the potential to be a #4 or #5 if he can keep runners off of the base paths. He needs to improve his control (9% BB) in order to maintain his recent level of success. Unfortunately, his advanced metrics do not believe this is going to be the case.
Odubel Herrera-Phillies-OF
Odubel Herrera was 3-5 with 1 R and 2 RBI against the Cardinals. Herrera is hitting .257 with 5 HR, 25 RBI, and 4 SB. This is quite a bit away from his .286 15 HR/25 RBI season last year. His skills have declined with a 3% increase in his strikeout rate and a 5% drop in his walk rate. This is because his out of zone swing rate has also increased 6% to 41%, which is not a good sign. The good news is that he seems to be breaking out of this prolonged slump with a .429 AVG with 2 HR and 6 RBI over his last seven games.
DFS Value Play
David Freese-Pirates-3B
David Freese will have the platoon advantage against LHP Kyle Freeland. He will also have a plus lineup spot hitting cleanup. Freese has a .370 wOBA and .869 OPS against southpaws this year. This includes 40% hard contact. Fanduel: $3,100
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