Dylan Bundy (BAL) - Dylan Bundy tossed another strong outing against the Boston Red Sox on Friday night, going 7 innings with no earned runs, 6 hits allowed, and 3 strikeouts. The start improved his ERA to a paltry 1.37. Interestingly, Bundy has amassed an impressive 13% swinging strike rate in a small sample to begin the season, but that rate has translated to just a 24% strikeout rate entering last night's contest. With this in mind, look for Bundy to see an uptick in the strikeouts over the coming months, slightly offset by higher ratios related to the normalization of his strand rate (currently at an unsustainable 85%). Also keep in mind that his strength of schedule should also get a bit easier as the season goes on. Over his first four starts, he'd had to face Toronto twice and Boston twice. He's a must start in all mixed leagues moving forward.
Joey Gallo (TEX) - Joey Gallo hit his 4th and 5th home runs of the season Friday night as he helped propel the Rangers over the Royals. On the season, Gallo has shown improvements to his batting EYE, although he still has a lot of growth left to do. Compared with 2016, Gallo has an EYE nearly 10 points better at .36. Unfortunately, his poor 64% contact rate will continue to keep his batting average on the low end, making him a risky play in mixed leagues. He's a much better AL-only option and / or in the DFS community. He's priced efficiently on FanDuel at $3,200, but at $3,700 on DraftKIngs, he's very much in play for tournaments as he faces off against the flyball-heavy and homerun-prone Ian Kennedy.
Corey Kluber (CLE) - Corey Kluber went the distance against the White Sox, allowing just 3 hits and 2 walks over 9 innings. He also struck out 9 batters. After a difficult schedule to begin the year, Cleveland drew a really nice matchup against the strikeout- heavy White Sox. His matchups should continue to get a little easier over the coming weeks and will be a nice bounceback candidate after his forgettable April. Kluber has seen a significant decrease to his swinging strike rate (12.6% in 2016 vs 10.1% in 2017), which has translated to a drop to just a 22.5% strikeout rate. Watch these numbers over the next several weeks. It's too early to panic, but without an elite strikeout rate, it's going to be difficult for Kluber to return value to his fantasy owners relative to where he was drafted.
Mike Moustakas (KC) - The third base position is loaded with really fun options on Saturday's DFS slate. Moustakas leads the way from a value perspective as he gains the platoon edge and gets a favorable park shift into Arlington. He's reasonably priced at $3,000 on FanDuel and $3,500 on DraftKings. Moose has gotten off to a torrid start this season and is slashing .291/.339/.582 to begin the year to go along with 5 home runs and 7 RBI. He goes up against the right-handed A.J. Griffin, a pitcher who has struggled against left-handed batters in the past (.322 wOBA over his career) and tends to induce lots of flyballs.
Chris Davis (BAL) - Facing a knuckleballer, Chris Davis makes for an excellent tournament play in Saturday's slate of DFS contests. The Orioles have an implied run total of 4.7, so getting exposure to some of Baltimore's bats makes a lot of sense from a lineup construction perspective. From an individual matchup perspective, things also grade out favorably with a career .254 ISO and .362 wOBA against right-handed pitchers. Davis crushes right-handed pitching and already has a homerun off Steven Wright this season. At just $3,000 on FanDuel, he's severely underpriced today.
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