Add Drops:
Chris Coghlan (OF-CHC) - Chris Coghlan has adjusted nicely to batting third. On Saturday night Coghlan had a crucial two run double and run scored in Chicago's 5-7 loss. As the three hitter, Coghlan is hitting .255 with a .327 OBP. His numbers may not appear incredible on the surface, but a deeper look displays why Coghlan is a fantasy threat. Coughlan has 27 hits in the three hole. He also has 20 runs scored and 14 RBIs as well as 11 walks in 106 at bats. What this displays is that Coghlan creates a run 89% of the time that he reaches base. Since he reaches base about once every four at bats (once a game), Coghlan is bound to score a run or drive in an RBI about once a game. With numbers this incredible you have to trust Coghlan down the stretch, especially because Chicago is hitting right now and Coghlan is smack dab in the middle of an offense parade every day.
J.A. Happ (SP-PIT) - Something about the Mariners made J.A. Happ a bad pitcher. Now that he's not on the Mariners, he's good again. Since his trade to Pittsburgh Happ has been an elite player. He did have one rough start his first time out, but since then he has thrown 36 innings and only surrendered four earned runs. Meanwhile, his K/9 during this six game stretch is 9.00. As if that wasn't good enough, his H/9 is 6.00 over those six starts. Happ is rolling and it has reflected well on his record. He's 5-1 with the Pirates, and still available on many waiver wires if you have the roster space.
DFS Picks:
Mike Leake (SP-SFG) - Any pitcher who can post a 3.56 ERA in Great American Ballpark through 21 starts has a good shot to succeed in San Francisco. That's why Mike Leake is a prime suspect for a big fantasy game on Sunday. Since joining the Giants Leake is a deceptive 0-3. I emphasize deceptive because Leake has allowed two runs or fewer in three of his five starts with the Giants. However, this hasn't reflected well on his 4.31 ERA with San Fran due to a four run outing against St Louis and a six run outing against Arizona. Despite those two bad starts, Leake has thrown at least 5.2 innings in every outing. Also, to be fair, he had to face two first place teams (St Louis and LA), two wild card leaders (Pittsburgh and Texas), and the NL's best offense (Arizona). With a start against San Diego slated for Sunday, Leake should perform much better. DraftKings Value Pick $6,400
Jon Niese (SP-NYM) - The Atlanta Braves are just terrible and as a DFS player you should seek to exploit that. Since August, Atlanta has maintained a bottom tier 3.33 runs/g. On the other end of that spectrum is Atlanta's Sunday opponent the Mets. It's no secret that New York is hot, and as a result, Jon Niese should have an easy time picking up the W. Niese has been anything but impressive lately. He has allowed five or more runs in four consecutive starts and hasn't pitched into the seventh since August 10th. Regardless, a matchup against Atlanta is an automatic win right now. Also, Niese comes at a nice DFS discount due to his recent struggles. With Niese averaging 5.96 innings/start and 5.98 K/9, you should feel comfortable taking the risk. DraftKings Value Pick $5,300
Players to Avoid:
Zach Greinke (SP-LAD) - There's no doubt in my mind that Zach Greinke is the 2015 NL Cy Young, but it doesn't mean he's always makes a great DFS pick. In order to win on Sunday Greinke will have to shut down Arizona's elite offense. This season, Arizona has accumulated the highest run total in the NL. Their 4.50 runs/game is something to fear as an opposing pitcher. As a team Arizona's .318 BABIP ranks second highest in the MLB. For Greinke, whose K/9 is only 8.13, this could be a problem. Although Greinke has a spectacular .247 BABIP and .192 BAA, Arizona has the necessary pieces of the puzzle to make his stat line average. For this reason I would highly caution against Greinke on Sunday.
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Time Frame: Season