Justin Turner- 3B- LAN- Idea- Turner has a chance to exploit some reverse splits in today's game. His slash line against RH pitching is .316/.384/.532. Jake Peavy's slash line against RH hitting is .268/.310/.414. This puts Turner in a dominant position. Value play- DraftKings salary $3200
Alex Wood- P- LAN- Cold- Wood has been on a roller coaster recently. In his last 4 starts he has two quality starts and has been touched for 8 runs twice. This is where some wild and wacky regression to the mean could be bouncing him around. The extreme performances keep his ERA and FIP flipping from one slightly higher than the other and then vice versa. Going into yesterday his ERA was 3.60 and FIP was 3.68. Now his ERA is 3.89 and FIP is 3.76. Maybe that means he will get one last correction before the season is over.
Nolan Arenado- 3B- COL- Great Player- Arenado didn't waste much time following up his 40th homer Saturday night by slugging his 41st yesterday. Arenado has realized his potential this season. He is not strictly a creature of Coors, either. After yesterday his home homer total still trails his road total by 1. Arenado is only 24 so has some time to add to his power numbers and be a dominant force for years.
Ender Inciarte- OF- ARI- Hot- Inciarte continued to batter RH pitching yesterday, going 4-for-5 with 2 homers. He had a .324 average against them going into yesterday. Against LH he only has a slash line of .230/.257/.281. Last year Inciarte's splits were not nearly this extreme. The difference is how his luck was distributed in each year. In 2014 his respective BABIP against LH and RH pitching was .307 and .312. This year it is .257 and .362. Looking into 2016 an evening out will leave Inciarte as still valuable on an everyday basis. It won't be as important to consider benching him against LH pitchers.
Derek Norris- C- SD- Stats- Norris has regressed from his average of .270 last season that was based on a helped with a BABIP of .324. His preseason projection of .254/16/62 has been almost perfectly been matched by his actual performance of .250/14/62. Norris did fall significantly short in one area. His projected Batting EYE was 0.62 after he had posted a 0.63 in 2014. This year he dropped to 0.24. A decrease in GB% from 46.0% to 41.2% and increase in FB% from 35.3% to 41.4% may have helped mitigate the effect of the lower Batting EYE. If he can recover his plate discipline he could make an increase in performance in 2016 but probably not to the same level he had in 2014.
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