DFS Picks:
Logan Forsythe (2B-TB) - There are too many reasons to pick Logan Forsythe in DFS leagues. On Saturday Forsythe and the Rays are set to face off against Wei-Yin Chen and the Orioles. In his career against Chen Forsythe is 10 for 25 with three home runs, a triple, and two doubles. Don't worry about him swinging and missing, because Forsythe has only struck out twice against Chen. Amongst other reasons to pick Forsythe is his ability to flat out hit LHP. In 148 at bats Forsythe has 10 home runs, 14 doubles, a .297 AVG, and a .371 OBP against southpaws. He's obviously not the cheapest player, especially due to his recent hot streak, but Forsythe is a cinch to get the job done. DraftKings Value Pick $3,400
Kyle Gibson (SP-MIN) - Kyle Gibson at home is a recipe for success. In Minnesota Gibson has a 3.02 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Comparatively, he has a 4.90 ERA and 1.41 WHIP on the road. The reason for Gibson's success has to do with his BB/9 as well as his K/9 at home. In Minnesota, Gibson has a 2.44 BB/9 and a 6.82 K/9. On the road these numbers are 3.40 and 5.77 respectively. Strangely enough, Gibson has allowed four more home runs at home. For a pitcher with a 2.37 GB/FB ratio, this is extremely significant. Nonetheless his BAA is .251 at home and on the road, and the Angels have baseball's seventh lowest scoring offense. That being said, Gibson should put together a solid start. DraftKings Value Pick $7,600
David Ortiz (1B-BOS) - David Ortiz has never struggled to hit R.A. Dickey. In his career against Dickey, Ortiz is 9 for 31 with three home runs, two doubles, and four walks. Coming off a hot 11 game stretch, Ortiz will look to keep up his power numbers. Over his last 11 games Ortiz has six home runs, 15 RBIs, nine runs scored, and 13 hits. He's clearly seeing the ball well, and is stroking the baseball for a .282 ISO. Coming off his worst start in nearly a month, Dickey will be vulnerable. Last time out he allowed seven hits and five runs to the Yankees. Right now New York is playing average baseball and Boston is hot, so I'll take my chances on Big Papi. DraftKings $4,900
Stacks of the Day:
Royals vs. Matt Boyd
Everyone is hitting Matt Boyd right now. His .341 BAA is proof. Sometimes stats can be deceiving due to splits. In this case both lefties and righties have killed Boyd, so that's not the case. Lefties are hitting .400 against Boyd this season while righties are hitting .317. Surprisingly, lefties have almost double the HR frequency (10 AB/HR vs 18 AB/HR). With a matchup against the Royals coming up, Boyd is doomed. KC has already driven in 10 runs in 13.1 innings against Boyd. In those 13.1 innings, KC has 23 hits and three walks. Due to their extremely low 5.72 K/9, there's no way Boyd goes more than five innings.
Blue Jays vs. Wade Miley
I know everyone was thinking it, but let me put some numbers out there anyway. Against lefties Toronto has 45 home runs this season. This may not sound like much, but it ranks 7th in baseball and all six teams with more home runs have faced lefties more often. Out of the top seven southpaw crushing teams, Toronto has played in an average of 11 fewer games. It's not a surprise that lefties are afraid to face the Blue Jays. Toronto is hitting .280 versus lefties (2nd best in the MLB), with an MLB leading .357 OBP. The main lefty killer is Josh Donaldson. Donaldson has a .333 AVG and a .705 SLG against lefties. Beyond the usual suspects, Chris Collabello and Russell Martin have also destroyed lefties. Collabello has a .325 AVG and a .597 SLG against lefties, while Martin has a .417 OBP and a .953 OPS against lefties. Basically, pick any Blue Jays and you won't be disappointed.
"This is just a small sample our daily analysis, join our member area for more premium content: http://www.fantistics.com/join/join.php3"
Follow me on Twitter @swallach27
Time Frame: Season
