We're FINALLY starting to get into a bit of a more normal schedule that isn't so inundated with day games. For the average baseball fans the presence of afternoon baseball is a nice draw, but for daily gamers it creates issues with having to assess weather and potential lineups hours in advance of game-time instead of minutes. The issue is a bit exaggerated for Mike and I writing as it forces us to start our writing the night before when weather and lineups are even less clear. In order to remedy this issue we've been active on twitter up and until game-time giving our thoughts on how lineup changes and weather issues have impacted our recommendations. You can follow me (https://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer) and Mike Leone (https://twitter.com/leonem4444) for all your daily and season-long fantasy needs. Shortly, we'll be moving that part of our coverage from twitter to an email alert service for those who have signed up to receive the Fix via email. So please make sure you've signed up for our distribution list (link at the bottom of the page) in order to keep getting our most recent updates as the day develops. In the meantime, expect the Fix to be posted a bit later in the afternoon on days where the schedule has 0 or just 1 day games. This will allow us to better assess weather and get a peek at a few lineups before posting.
Weather Concerns:
At first glance we have a handful of games that could be impacted by weather but none that appear certain to be impacted. This creates a dilemma for daily players as we're forced to play the role of meteorologist along with baseball analyst. Colorado had to postpone their game yesterday due to snow and while that won't be an issue today (temperatures are above freezing levels), there is still precipitation in the area. A savvy daily gamer will use the opening game of the double-header as a bit of a guide to assess the likelihood of delays or postponement for game 2. In Pittsburgh the forecast calls for rain throughout the day and scattered thunderstorms through game-time with a few showers later in the night. With the two being division rivals, MLB is typically quicker to postpone these games if the weather worsens for an extended period; however, I think this one gets played. In Cincinnati the forecast calls for scattered and isolated thunderstorms with chances of precipitation ranging from 30-60%. "Scattered" and "isolated" storms typically result more in delays than postponements so I might be leery of using pitchers in this game, but the hitters should be fine. In Cleveland, there's a 30% chance of precipitation but the "few showers" tag makes me feel ok about using players in this game. The same can be said for the Yankees-Arizona game where the forecast, currently, looks a bit worse for post-game conditions.
Before we get into today's recommendations, it is important to remind everyone to understand your scoring format and the pricing of the individual players on the site you're playing. These vary from site to site and all daily sites price their players differently, which could make someone a must start on one site but not another. In the space below I will break down the best and worst plays by position and make notes as to which type of formats to utilize players. If you are new to the daily fantasy baseball scene, there are daily fantasy websites which offer one day contests. These contests are mostly salary cap games where you can take any players you want as long as you stay under the cap and meet the positional requirements and all are points-based (not roto). Please feel free to e-mail me at ddinkmeyer@fantistics.com if you have any further questions regarding daily fantasy baseball.
Catchers:
Best Values:
Jonathan Lucroy (MIL) - I cannot believe the amount of LHP the Brewers have seen early in the season and I especially can't believe how little they've done against it. Last year the Brewers had the highest wOBA in the league against left-handed pitching (.343) tied with the Rangers and a big part of that was because of Jonathan Lucroy. Lucroy hit .400/.444/.725 against LHP last year and for his career he's hit .325/.358/.557 against southpaws. He's 5-15 to start the season this year against LHP but hasn't racked up an extra base hit yet and as a result has largely been a disappointment when we've used him in this space before. On Tuesday night he gets to take on Barry Zito who has allowed a .334 wOBA, 4.68 FIP, and 4.81 xFIP to RHB's over the last three years. Zito walks nearly 10% of the RHB's he faces and surrenders 1.09 HR/9 to RHB's over the last three years. Those numbers explode when you focus just on Zito road starts against RHB's. For example last year he allowed 1.69 HR/9 to RHB's on the road, in 2011 it was 1.99 HR/9, and in 2010 it was a modest 0.77 HR/9. With the Brewers likely stacking 8 RHB's in their lineup tonight, Zito should be in trouble early and often. Miller Park also plays 31% above the league average for HR's, so look for Zito's issues with the long-ball to continue. Lucroy, whose price is depressed on many sites because of his slow start, is in an ideal matchup for his skill-set. Lock him in on any site that has him priced as an average or below average catching option.
Miguel Montero (ARZ) - Montero gets to take his shot at the short-porch in RF at Yankee Stadium and he gets to do it against a pitcher all too familiar with it. In his career Ivan Nova has allowed 1.55 HR/9 to LHB's at Yankee Stadium and a disturbing .353 wOBA. Left-handed hitters have hit .269/.347/.485 against Nova in Yankee Stadium while posting a 21% LD Rate. Last year, the numbers were even worse. He allowed 2.59 HR/9 to LHB's at Yankee Stadium along with a .294/.369/.600 line that basically meant that LHB's all looked like Ryan Braun to Nova. Montero is a left-handed bat, who also happens to crush RHP. For his career Montero has hit .281/.360/.463 against RHP and last year those numbers rose to .299/.414/.444 as he developed a stronger BB Rate. With Nova's struggles vs. LHB's, Montero's skill vs. RHB's and the game taking place in Yankee Stadium which inflates HR's 28% above the league average, Montero is a phenomenal play on sites where he's priced as an average catching option.
If you're looking to spend more at the Catcher position both Yadier Molina and Wilin Rosario (if in game 2 lineup) are both strong plays as they face weak LHP. Carlos Santana typically hits LHP much stronger and gets a good matchup today as well. Given the price disparity between the top tier catcher options and the "best values" I'm inclined to go with the value at the position today.
First Base:
Best Value Plays:
Allen Craig (STL) - Craig can be had at a pretty nice discount on most sites because he's opened the season hitting just .224/.264/.306 and depending on the site he either qualifies at 1B or OF (on some sites both) so pay attention to where you can find him. Craig matches up against Jonathan Sanchez who has a 12.96 ERA and 2.28 WHIP through his first two outings as 19 of the 45 batters he's faced have successfully reached base. Sanchez isn't a major league quality pitcher anymore and over the last three years his skills have continued to deteriorate. He's walked 14% of the RHB's he's faced over the last three years while allowing a .339 wOBA and 1.16 HR/9. In his limited time on the mound this year RHB's have hit .375/.483/.792 against him with over 20% of the RHB's he's faced ending with an extra base hit and over 30% ending in an extra-base hit or a walk. Craig, to his credit, has destroyed LHP in his career to the tune of .316/.352/.584 and even this year when he's started slowly he's 3-8 off lefties with a walk. His slow start has him discounted on many sites and the matchup is about as good as it gets for Craig and the other Cardinal RHB's.
Edwin Encarnacion (TOR) - Mike touched on Encarnacion yesterday as a lower priced option despite facing a same-handed pitcher (RHP vs. RHB) and I think he's worth mentioning again today. The White Sox are throwing out an even worse RHP, Dylan Axelrod, than yesterday so the play is even more appetizing if the price hasn't changed much. Axelrod has allowed a .334 wOBA to RHB's and a near 9% BB Rate over the last three years. He does a bit better job keeping the ball in the park against righties than he does lefties but the .271/.347/.412 line against him suggests there's plenty of room for production. The Rogers Centre inflates overall run scoring by about 7% and home-runs by 19%, so the Blue Jays should put up a handful against a weak RH starter. If Edwin is still priced cheaply I think he's a solid value play at the 1B position
The expensive 1B to target:
Prince Fielder (DET) - Prince has been red-hot to start the season so he may be priced out of range on many sites but the matchup on Tuesday night is a good one to exploit. Fielder gets Aaron Harang and his .340 wOBA allowed against LHB's over the last three years. Harang is a fly-ball pitcher who has been getting by thanks to strong pitching environments (LAD, SD) and the Mariners are going to try to squeeze some more value out of him in their big park. Fielder is showing early in the season it doesn't matter the size of the park as he's hit .429/.527/.833 without playing in any favorable hitting environments (DET, @OAK, @MIN). Against RHP in his career Fielder has hit .299/.415/.579, posting an incredible .414 wOBA. The matchup is a favorable for one as Harang's fly-ball tendencies should play right into Fielder's massive strength. He's got as good a chance as any player of homering tonight, so if you can find him at an affordable price and have the room to spend at 1B he's a very strong play.
Joey Votto (CIN) - Votto finally homered on Sunday so hopefully people will stop focusing on the lack of HR's and start focusing on the ridiculous .317/.556/.463 line Votto has compiled this season. If you play on site that takes away points for outs made, Votto is one of the safest bets for positive scoring in the game thanks to that gaudy .566 on-base percentage. On Tuesday night he gets an opportunity against Kyle Kendrick who has really struggled against LHB's in his career. Over the last three years Kendrick has allowed a .352 wOBA to LHB's, while serving up 1.28 HR/9. In Votto's career he's hit .323/.429/.576 against RHP and Great American Ballpark inflates HR's by 35% and overall run-scoring by 7%. This is an ideal matchup to deploy Votto if you have the salary to spend.
Second Base:
Best Values:
Rickie Weeks (MIL) - Re-read the Lucroy blurb for more about Barry Zito's struggles against RHB's on the road, but that's one of the primary reasons I like Weeks tonight. The other reason is Weeks is pretty darn good against LHP. In his career he's hit .266/.396/.445 against LHP and that impressive 15% BB Rate figures to play well against Zito's propensity for walking RHB's. Weeks has been hitting in the middle of the lineup of late after Braun and before Lucroy which creates some nice RBI + Run opportunities when surrounded by two other hitters who absolutely crush LHP. I think Brewers offense gets on track tonight and Weeks, whose value is suppressed on many sites, makes for a fine 2B play.
Justin Turner (NYM) - Check the weather, the lineup, and your site on Turner because if all three are appealing he could be a monstrous value in what figures to be a high-scoring game in Coors Field. Turner has actually had some slight reverse splits in his career (.660 OPS vs. LHP, .701 OPS vs. RHP) but if you dig in on those numbers you'll see much of that appears BABIP driven. Turner walks more against LHP (8.2% vs. 6.8%), strikes out less (10.5% vs. 13.4%) and a 23 point difference in BABIP accounts for almost all of the gap between his splits vs. LHP and RHP. Now he's not a lefty masher by any means but he'll face off with Jeff Francis who has allowed a .357 wOBA to RHB's over the last three years. Often times you'll take any cheap pieces of Coors Field action you can get and on a number of sites Turner is priced down near the minimum. Coming off a 3-4 performance in his start against LHP and not being in the lineup for game 1, I'm anticipating Turner is not only in the lineup but batting higher than the 8th he mustered over the weekend. If he's batting 2nd, 6th or 7th as I suspect it should put him in a nice position for R or RBI opportunities. At the bare minimum on some sites he's worth a look if you want salary relief at 2B.
Neil Walker (PIT) - Walker is starting to heat up as he's gone 8-18 over the last 4 games with 4 XBH's and 0 K's. On Tuesday night he'll face off with Jake Westbrook who has allowed a .335 wOBA to LHB's and has walked 10% of the LHB's he's faced over the last three years. Walker is a switch hitter who has always done more damage from the left side (.794 OPS vs. 670 OPS as a RHB) and in his career against Westbrook he's gone 6-17 with a 3B and a tidy 4:3 BB:K Rate. He's a hot hitter with a plus matchup and with Westbrook posting a 5.91 ERA and 1.69 WHIP over the last 3 years against Pittsburgh (9 starts), I think the Pirates are likely to put some runs on the board tonight.
Josh Rutledge (COL) - Again we'll have to confirm on weather here but if you can get Rutledge at a fair price on Tuesday night he's an excellent play against Aaron Laffey. Laffey has allowed a .359 wOBA to RHB's over the last three years which is by far the worst of any starter going today with more than 50 IP. He's allowed a 20% LD Rate and 1.09 HR/9. Rutledge has actually displayed better plate discipline skills and overall production against RHP in his career, but he's displayed a lot more power against LHP. Hitting likely in front of Troy Tulowitzki, Carlos Gonzalez, and Michael Cuddyer (another lefty-masher), Rutledge figures to have a strong chance at scoring runs any time he can get on base.
Typically Reserves in Great Lineup Spots: Kelly Johnson (TB)
The Studs:
With all the value plays at 2B today I probably won't be spending at the position. If you're inclined to Robinson Cano vs. a RHP in Yankee Stadium is never a bad play and Ian Kinsler against a LHP looks like a strong one as well. Dustin Pedroia should get some benefit from facing a crap-tastic Ubaldo Jimenez. Chase Utley is probably my favorite based on price compared to the other three on a quick scan of sites I did. He gets Homer-prone Bailey in Cincinnati. All four are adequate plays for their price but I think more value can be had down low from the 2B position today.
Shortstop:
Best Values:
Asdrubal Cabrera (CLE) - Cabrera is really scuffling to start the season and a few days ago I profiled him for our subscribers. The quick and dirty is the struggles are skill and not luck-related. That's the bad news. The good news is Cabrera gets to face a LHP on Tuesday night and his salary is WAY down. In his career Cabrera has hit .294/.349/.435 against LHP with a comparable BB Rate and a much better strikeout rate. Red Sox LHP Felix Doubront has allowed a .348 wOBA to RHB's over the last three years which ranks 3rd worst for pitchers going today with at least 45 innings. He's really struggled with command, walking 10.6%, and line drives (22%) against RHB's. In addition the Indians have been scorching hot as a team against LHP. They've posted a .758 OPS as a team vs. LHP and rank in the Top 10 in the league against it. Although Cabrera is struggling he's still been a fixture in the middle of the lineup and should get some residual benefit from the success around him. With his price falling below the average SS, I think he's one of the stronger plays out there. Even if you are "betting on the come" a bit with his current slump.
Starlin Castro (CHC) - I thought Castro's strong weekend would raise his price on most sites, but he's still being priced as an average commodity at the SS position. As Mike and I have noted he's one of the top 2 remaining healthy SS's and while he's no Troy Tulowitzki with the bat he certainly shouldn't be priced around the Pete Kozma's of the world. Castro has also been better against LHP in his brief career hitting .318/.369/.451 against lefties and his opponent on the mound Tuesday night, Derek Holland, is indeed left-handed. Holland surrenders 1.47 HR/9 to RHB's over the last three years, which is the most of any starter going today, and his .335 wOBA allowed his above the league average. If you're looking for value at the SS position there probably isn't a better one today than Castro.
Stephen Drew (BOS) - Drew can hit RHP, for his career he's hit .273/.339/.445 against RHP and he's done it with a solid 9% BB Rate. Ubaldo Jimenez, Drew's opponent Tuesday night, cannot get out left-handed bats. Last year Jimenez allowed a .371 wOBA to LHB's and in the early-going this year it's up to a ridiculous .486 wOBA. He's walked around 12% of the RHB's he's faced over the last two years while yielding a LD Rate well over 23%. The matchup would be a bit more ideal if the Red Sox were at home where left-handed power is really inflated, but Drew's matchup with Jimenez is a strong enough one that if you can find him hovering around the minimum price on some sites he's a nice value.
The Stud:
Troy Tulowitzki (COL) - He's always the stud, but when you can get him against LHP in Coors Field, he's super-human. For his career he's hit .324/.408/.562 against LHP at home with a sparkling 0.97 EYE. His opponent on Tuesday night is arguably one of the worst starting LHP's in all of baseball. My apologies to the Laffey family, but Aaron has allowed a .359 wOBA to RHB's over the last three years and he's walked as many as he's struck out. Tulowitzki's price ranges from expensive to outlandish so if you can get him anywhere closer to the expensive side he has to be considered one of the top overall hitting options today, which has added value at the scarce SS position.
Third Base:
Best Values:
Eric Chavez (ARZ) - Remember all those cool stats I gave about Ivan Nova struggling against LHB's in Yankee Stadium? Well the Diamondbacks are giving Eric Chavez the start at 3B on Tuesday night at Chavez just happened to just have a full season of AB's at Yankee Stadium where he hit .285/.348/.488 against RHP. Chavez isn't a regular starter so many sites have him priced near the minimum. He's had very recent success against RHP in Yankee Stadium and gets one of the most homer-prone starters in all of baseball. Hitting 6th in a projected high total game, Chavez is easily one of the best values at the 3B position.
David Freese (STL) - Freese has hit .324/.384/.463 in his career against LHP and gets to face Jonathan Sanchez whose family is offended that I just called Aaron Laffey the worst LHP in all of baseball. Freese's price is down on a lot of sites because he missed the start of the season, making him a nice value play on a Cardinals team that figures to contend for most runs scored on the day.
Pedro Alvarez (PIT) - I'm not a big fan of Alvarez as a fantasy player. I tend to shy away from all-or-nothing guys in season-long fantasy and watching them just annoys me. Alvarez takes it to an even bigger extreme because while 44% of his career PA's end in a HR, BB, or K, his career 48.7% GB Rate limits a big part of his raw power. This year the number has gotten even worse (64% GB Rate) which is why he's yet to hit a HR. With all of that said, the matchup for Alvarez on Tuesday night is compelling. Jake Westbrook really struggles to strikeout LHB's (just 13%) and while he does roll a lot of ground balls (55%) he also has had a hard time retiring Alvarez in his career. Alvarez is 11-19 off of Westbrook with 2 2B's, 2 HR's, and just 1 K. On sites where Alvarez is priced as an average 3B I'm still going to lean on other value plays, but there are some sites where he's priced at the bottom of the barrel and on those sites I think he's worth the gamble. The Pirates have a lot of guys that see Westbrook well and that should help Alvarez get some RBI opportunities. Let's just hope he converts them instead of grounding into double plays.
Other Potential Underpriced Studs: Ryan Zimmerman (WAS), Adrian Beltre (TEX)
The Stud:
David Wright (3B) - Wright has hit .336/.431/.572 in his career against LHP. Over the last three years at Coors Field he's hit .370/.541/.667. The pitcher he's facing on Tuesday night has allowed a .296/.352/.479 line against RHP in Coors Field for his career. Do I need to go on?
Outfield:
Best Value Plays:
Nick Swisher (CLE) - From what I've seen on most sites Swisher's price ranges from "fair" to "discounted" and that's a good thing for those who want to take advantage of Swisher's tremendous history as a RHB. The switch-hitter has hit .271/.403/.443 for his career as a RHB and he's done it with a monstrous 16.7% BB Rate and spectacular 1.08 EYE. The lefty throwing for the Red Sox, Felix Doubront, has allowed RHB's to hit .266/.347/.454 against him in his career and he's allowed 1.33 HR/9 to RHB's as well. Swisher and the whole Indians team seems to be hitting LHP early on, so I'm taking a chance on Swisher where his price is discounted.
Colin Cowgill (NYM) - If he's batting leadoff in game 2 tonight I like Cowgill for all the other reasons I like Mets RHB's tonight. Cowgill hasn't had a ton of success swinging the bat in his major league career but he has been better against LHP (.690 OPS vs. .569 OPS) and if you can get him for the minimum on sites I'll take my chances in a projected high total game against a weak LHP. If he's priced even remotely close to average just ignore him.
Alfonso Soriano (CHC) - Soriano derives almost all of his value from his power and the matchup on Tuesday night is a good one for that skillset. Derek Holland allows 1.47 HR/9 to RHB's and Alfonso Soriano has posted a career .881 OPS against lefties. In recent years as his skill-set has declined it's been closer to an .850 OPS but he's a free swinger who likes the ball moving towards him. Derek Holland is a FB-Slider guy with homer issues. It's a good matchup to take advantage of a clean-up hitter with a very depressed price right now.
Matt Joyce (TB) - I wrote a blurb over the weekend talking about Joyce's declining split prowess and the impact it's had on TB's lineup vs. RHP. The big issue for Joyce is he's hitting the ball on the ground way too much. The good thing for him is the opponent on Tuesday night gets less than 40% of the batted balls on the ground against LHB's. Jake Arrieta has really scuffled against LHB's in his career allowing a .282/.367/.499 line that equates to a .373 wOBA. As noted in this space before, Joyce has had historically great success against RHP (.262/.352/.490) and even if that success is fading in recent years the matchup and the park make Joyce a strong play. Camden Yards allows 9% more runs and 24% more HR's than the league average. Joyce has also seen Arrieta well in limited AB's going 5-12 with a 2B, HR, and 2 BB's against 0 K's. Perhaps tonight is the night Joyce gets out of his recent funk. The matchup couldn't set up any better for it.
There are so many good OF options tonight that I chose to highlight a few that I think could be extreme values. The more I looked at it though and as more lineups came out there were so many popping up. As a result I've decided to list some other value plays below, along with the best high-priced OFs to target.
Typically Reserves in Great Lineup Spots: Shane Robinson (STL), Jose Tabata (PIT), Eric Hinske (ARZ), Drew Stubbs (CLE), Roger Bernadina (WSH), Scott Hairston (CHC)
The Elite OFs to Target: Ryan Braun (MIL), Jacoby Ellsbury (BOS), Matt Holliday (STL), Michael Cuddyer (COL), Josh Hamilton (LAA), Mike Trout (LAA), Carl Crawford (LAD), Matt Kemp (LAD), Jay Bruce (CIN), Carlos Beltran (STL), Andre Ethier (LAD), Jason Heyward (ATL)
Of that group I like Braun and Ellsbury the most if price isn't an issue and Hamilton, Beltran, Bruce seem to be priced the best across sites.
Starting Pitchers:
Best Value Plays:
AJ Griffin (OAK) - In Griffin's short career he's posted a 3.19 ERA at home with a .265 wOBA allowed. His high fly-ball tendencies play up in Oakland's spacious Coliseum and on Tuesday night he gets a matchup that should play right to his skill-set. The Astros are a free swinging bunch who actually rank in the top half of hitting teams against RHP with a .320 wOBA. The reason they rank so high is they possess a Top 10 Slugging % against RHP. With the Coliseum being a park that downplays HR power by 22%, the Astros biggest skill should be mitigated by the park. Add in the fact that they're still striking out in 26% of their PA's against RHP and Griffin who struck out 19.1% of batters last year but just 8.9% so far this year, should get a boost in perhaps his weakest category. Griffin doesn't walk anyone (5.6% BB Rate for his career) and the Astros walk at less than a 6% clip against RHP. If this were in "the Juicebox in Houston" I might have 2nd thoughts about the Astros power against Griffin, but a night game at the Coliseum should play nicely.
Dan Haren (WSH) - Haren's biggest issue throughout his career has been HR's. When he doesn't allow them, he's awesome. When he's at his worst, they come in bunches. The Marlins have a .245 Slugging % against RHP this year and have just 2 HR's. The big ballpark in Miami should also suit Haren's strengths, making this a good fit for a pitcher who is allowing a ridiculous 51.4% FB Rate. We saw the Marlins cure Roy Halladay's woes on Sunday and I expect Haren's early season struggles to be cast aside against a watered down Marlins lineup missing slugger Giancarlo Stanton.
Chris Capuano (LAD) - Capuano was a really solid back-end starter last year for the Dodgers posting a 3.72 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. The only reason he wasn't given a starting job to begin the year was the Dodgers had gone on a spending spree for higher end SP. With Greinke down he gets his shot again in a favorable home start against the Padres. In 4 starts last year against the Padres Capuano posted a 3.13 ERA and this year the Padres rank 23rd against LHP with a .264 wOBA. Missing Carlos Quentin due to suspension Capuano gets a bit of a watered down lineup against LHP and while many will be concerned about his pitch count coming out of the pen, Capuano did throw 90 pitches in the last week of spring. He's priced like a low-end starting option on a few sites because of his relief roles and even if his pitch count is curtailed some he's priced at a point that he should pay off the value. He does have a bit more risk to him than some of other value plays but on some sites that risk is already priced in.
Jason Vargas (LAA) - Vargas is a fly-ball pitcher that is really susceptible to RH power. In a matchup against Minnesota, who lacks RH power outside of Josh Willingham, and in a park that suppresses HR's by 14%, I think Vargas is a solid matchups play tonight. He's best used on a site that requires multiple SP's, but with the Twins ranking 26th in MLB against LHP and striking out 23% of their PA's against LHP, Vargas makes for a nice value play
Boom-or-bust GPP Play:
Jake Arrieta (BAL) - The Rays .568 OPS against RHP is 2nd worst in baseball only to the Marlins and the next worst team is over 100 points of OPS better against RHP. Arrieta runs into trouble with men on base, but the Rays are posting just a .285 OBP against RHP and they lack the ideal LH power to challenge Arrieta. Against RHB's Arrieta is actually pretty lethal, allowing just a .299 wOBA. If he can somehow control Joyce and Zobrist, the rest of the lineup should be a bit of a breeze for him. If he can't control those two it could get ugly, which is why this play is boom or bust. On sites that use multiple pitchers and in large-entry contests I think he's worth the gamble to get some expensive bats in.
The Stud:
Doug Fister (DET) - Perhaps he's not a stud in the traditional sense but he's the SP I feel most comfortable utilizing tonight. Yes, even over Kris Medlen. Fister has allowed more than 3 ER's in a start just once in his last 12 starts for the Tigers (including playoffs) and current Seattle batters have hit just .212/.236/.346 against him. SAFECO has played as the friendliest pitcher park in the majors the last few years and while they've moved the fences in this year 4 of the 6 games have had fewer than 7 runs total scored and half of them have had less than 4 runs scored. A 16-9 explosion by the Astros is really the only strong offensive game put together in the new dimensions. Fister's 3.33 FIP over the last 3 years quietly ranks in the Top 15 in all of baseball and the Tigers offense should provide plenty of support against Aaron Harang. It also doesn't hurt that two of Seattle's top offensive threats Michael Saunders and Michael Morse are out. Fister is my #1 SP on Tuesday's slate.
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