Blake Beavan- SEA- Stats- Beavan has experienced a roller coaster ride this season. In his two June starts before being sent to the minors for a month he had a BABIP of .379 and LOB% of 43.9%. That's not to say that he didn't pitch horribly as well, as his 15.43 ERA in those starts was backed up by a 10.82 FIP due mainly to balls leaving the yard. Beavan's xFIP for June was 6.31. When he came back in July, Beavan posted a 3.05 ERA in 3 starts, which was actually a little unlucky, as his FIP was 2.19. The difference was primarily due to a 61.1% LOB%. After a mediocre Augusts, with an ERA of 4.38 and FIP of 5.00, Beavan has gotten good luck this month, with his 2.15 ERA much lower than his 4.89 FIP. This is credited to a 91.4% LOB%. What all this boils down to is that his 4.64 ERA and 4.78 FIP are good reflections of his overall value and what can be expected next season. There really isn't a huge jump in peripherals since he returned to the majors. In fact his K/9 of 4.07 since coming back is below the mark he had earlier this season.
Carter Capps- SEA- Hot- Capps has been pitching solidly since being called up early last month and is looking to nail down a slot in the 2013 Seattle bullpen. For a flamethrower he has remarkable control. If you take out 1 bad outing where he walked 3 batters in 1 IP he has only 5 walks in 19.1 major league IP, with 21 Ks in those same appearances. Capps has shown that he can pitch a lot of innings in a short amount of time. Since September 8th he has appeared in 5 games and tosses 9.1 IP, striking out 9 and walking 1. Capps looks like he could be a valuable player in 2013 in leagues that count holds and could be a closer candidate, increasing his value across the board.
Chad Jenkins- TOR- Rookie- Jenkins performed well in his first major league start, allowing just 1 run on 2 hits and a walk while striking out 4 in 5 IP. He hadn't done a good job as a reliever since being called up, allowing 10 runs in 18.1 IP out of the bullpen. Yesterday was more than you could expect from the former #1 pick on a regular basis. His 4.49 K/9 at AA this year shows a lack of power. His most likely ceiling is as a back of the rotation starter who won't have fantasy value in any but the deepest of leagues.
Matt Moore- TB- Cold- A combination of regression to the mean and wildness has made this a September to forget for Moore. He has a .349 BABIP for the month and has walked 10 in 16 IP. His ERA of 3.92 is now very close to his FIP of 3.98. There may be some fatigue involved. Moore is almost at the same number of IP as he threw last season (including the postseason) but he didn't throw as often in September of 2011 as he is this year. This slump shouldn't impact Moore's value for 2013.
Steve Johnson- BAL- Hot- Johnson will make his 3rd start for the Orioles in today's doubleheader. The swingman has posted quality starts in his first two. Johnson earned a promotion based on a 2.86 ERA at AAA Norfolk and hasn't disappointed at the big league level. He hadn't been really on the prospect radar before this season, finally climbing to AAA for the first time last year in his 6th pro season. His K/9 of 8.47 for Norfolk and 11.75 for Baltimore will make him worth a look in spring training, especially if he performs well again today.
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