Seth Smith: Despite only hitting, .204 in 58 PA, Smith is showing outstanding power, 4 home runs and 2 doubles. Last year he proved not to be helpless against LHP, 3/10/.259 in 69 PA, so if his depressed .139 BHIP% begins to normalize and he can sustain the above average power, Smith could force his way into an every day role in the Rockies OF.
Chipper Jones: Prior to this season, Jones’ power had been in a three-year decline, 2007/2008/2009 AB’s 513/439/488, HR’s 29/22/18, and Doubles’ 42/24/23, and the trend is continuing this year, 2 HR and 5 doubles in 72 AB. He still knows how to get on base, 2009/2010 BB%’s 17%/21% and Ct%’s 82%/83%, and with a depressed .170 BHIP%, there should be some upside from his current .222 batting average, but the days of Jones being a .300+ hitting, power producer are gone. At this point you have to ask yourself if league average power, potential batting average risk, and missing games here and there are worth it because they is what you are getting by rostering the 38-year-old Jones.
Garrett Jones: The Jones who put up massive power numbers in the second-half of last year, 21 HR and 21 doubles in 314 AB, is looking like a fluke, 4/15/.225 with 4 doubles in 89 AB. However his approach at the plate, 18% BB and an 81% Ct%, offers hope that if his depressed .188 BHIP% begins to normalize he could have some value as someone with above average, but not super, power who won’t hurt you in the batting average category, just don’t expect the kind of numbers he put up last year.
Ivan Rodriguez: At 38-years-of-age, Rodriguez doesn’t hit for power anymore, 2008/2009/2009 AB’s 398/425/65, HR’s 7/10/0, and Doubles’ 20/23/7, and has never exercised much plate patience, 2007/2008/2009/2010 BB%’s 2%/5%/4%/6%, so it was not surprising to see him his .249 last year. However this year, he has been on fire, .406 batting average in 69 AB, but given his declining contact skills, 2007/2008/2009 Ct%’s 81%/83%/78%, expect his current 90% Ct% to fall. When that happens, with his other below average skills and inflated .382 BHIP%, his batting average could freefall. You may want to get off this ride now as a high average hitting Rodriguez will not last much longer.
Ryan Theriot: On the surface things look great for Theriot, 0/12/.357 with 5 steals in 115 AB. However, he is doing it with no power, 0 HR and 4 doubles, and his skills, 2008/2009/2010 BB%’s 11%/8%/6% and Ct%’s 90%/85%/84%, are nowhere near where they were when he hit .307 in 2008. With an inflated .439 BHIP% and a skill set that does not support a high average, expect a big fall for Theriot.
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