Here's a sweep through some of our handy indicators for the Outfielders. There will be more to analyze in the coming days due to the size of the position. The only position left after this one will be that of the closers. In the coming days the analysis will be focused on the the news coming out of the Spring Training sites. Stay tuned as we start to refine and hone in on our player projections for the 2009 season.
Technical Indicators - Outfielders Part 1
Ramirez, Manny Monster 2nd H (21/69/.382), 22.8
LD%. Won't repeat last year, but still a top 10 at his position.
Abreu, Bobby 22.6 LD%, still has decent .67 EYE. Will have Vlad
hitting behind him.
Guerrero, Vladimir HR% on 4 year decline (5.5 to 4.6) Still offers
lots of potential, especially with Bobby Abreu in front of him in the
lineup
Beltran, Carlos Citi Field is a pitchers park, we may see a drop in
HRs, but this may be offset by a rise in SBs as knees are healthy
Soriano, Alfonso A move to the middle of the order will boost his
power production. A bit risky in H2H leagues as poor EYE hurts consistency
Lee, Carlos Lucky Singles% inflated AVG by 10-15. Solid EYE, but
doesn't score many runs.
Suzuki, Ichiro Excellent in 3 categories, but a liability in 2.
Will be 35 this year
Hamilton, Josh Produced more fantasy significant days than any
other player (90). Solid 21.5 LD% in '08. Josh, keep reading Bible!
Ludwick, Ryan One of the best LD% of '08 (26.3). 30 YO breakout is
a risk, his weekly consistency was excellent (82)
Crawford, Carl Hand and Wrists are healthy. WE should see a bounce
back in both Slug% and SBs
Bay, Jason RBI% will rise with full season in Bos. Despite high K%
(24%), His Weekkly and Daily Consistency is top tier.
Rios, Alex Big 2nd H of '08 (11/49/.304), big rise in SBs at 28 may
be 1 year blip. Poor EYE (.34)
Sizemore, Grady Solid Consistency Factor (77), Unlucky Singles%
cost him 15+ BA points in '08, Solid 12.1 XBH%
Holliday, Matt EYE (.71), 21.7 LD%, & 3YR .577 SLG makes him top
tier, however significant 100 point drop in SLG away from Coors
Upton, B.J. Overvalued in every draft. High K ratio (25%) for non
power hitter, leads to inconsistent results on weekly basis.
Hart, Corey Unlucky Singles% cost him 20+ BA points in '08. Solid
LD% (19.7), however poor EYE leads to much inconsistency
Granderson, Curtis Slug% should pop back over 500 this year. Good
LD% (19.1), we should see a rise in AVG this season.
Quentin, Carlos 1/3 of his HRs last year were just enough distance,
standard LD% (15.6) a risk to repeat power number ratios.
McLouth, Nate 1/3 of his HRs last season were just enough distance.
Despite this he's underrated - 12.7 XBH% and .70 EYE
Markakis, Nick Solid EYE (.81), Solid LD% (21.1), swing transition
from GB/FB split (59/41) will turn many of his 2B into HRs
Kemp, Matt Ball explodes off his bat (23 LD%), 60+ XBH (10.1%) in
'08. Rise in HR% expected in '09
Braun, Ryan Poor EYE (.33) makes him a bit risky. However had best
XBH% (13.5) in '08, and consistency factor was in top quartile
Have a great day!
Statistician and Publisher -Fantistics Insiderbaseball.com