Doug Davis: Less than a month removed from surgery to remove a cancerous thyroid, Davis threw a simulated game on Monday and is expected to make the first of two rehab starts on Saturday. The two rehab starts will give a good indication of the level of Davis’ strength. Even at full strength, Davis’ control is worrisome, 2005/2006/2007 BB/9’s 3.8/4.5/4.4.
Ryan Howard: While his power is slightly off, 6 home runs and 3 doubles in 142 PA, it is his batting average that is really suffering, .169. With his Ct% remaining at dangerously low levels, 2007/2008 #’s of 62%/61%, Howard will need to bring his power up to previous levels, 2006/2007 HR’s of 58/47, and have a BHIP% north of .260, 2006/2007/2008 BHIP%’s of .309/.268/.175, to not hurt a team in the batting average category.
Justin Upton: Upton’s power, 13 extra-base hits in 131 PA, and plate patience, 10.2 BB%, at such a young age, he doesn’t turn 21 until August 25th, makes him a superstar in the making. However, with a 73% Ct% and a .380 BHIP% expect some downside in the near future from his .348 batting average.
Adam Kennedy: With a .333 batting average in 78 AB, Kennedy is earning playing time in St. Louis. His 86% Ct% and 9.3% BB% look good, but be aware that his is not hitting for any power, 0 home and 3 doubles, and his .349 BHIP% points to some good fortune that will not last. Also, it has been a few years, since Kennedy has been an effective basestealer, 24 for 37 over the last three seasons, so don’t expect him to be a good speed source.
Corey Patterson: Patterson is playing better than his .200 batting average would indicate. He is making excellent contact, 92% Ct%, hitting for power, 12 extra-base hits in 90 AB, and stealing bases, 5 for 7. A ridiculously low .085 BHIP% is holding down his average. If the Reds stick with him, look for some nice batting average upside.
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