From a forecasting standpoint, we can forecast a pitcher’s win totals the following season based on the improvement or degradation of his team support. Keep in mind that players who were unusually lucky or unlucky in their Win totals are mistakenly over or undervalued during the following fantasy draft season. Such considerations are part of our player projections model.
| Less Wins than Deserved | More Wins than Deserved | |||||
| 1 | Cain,M. | -9 | 1 | Wakefield,T. | 6 | |
| 2 | Meche,G. | -8 | 2 | Billingsley,C. | 5 | |
| 3 | Arroyo,B. | -7 | 3 | Beckett,J. | 5 | |
| 4 | Snell,I. | -7 | 4 | Zambrano,C. | 5 | |
| 5 | Haren,D. | -6 | 5 | Lowry,N. | 4 | |
| 6 | Guthrie,J. | -6 | 6 | Vargas,C. | 4 | |
| 7 | Garland,J. | -6 | 7 | Wang,C. | 4 | |
| 8 | Jackson,E. | -5 | 8 | Eaton,A. | 4 | |
| 9 | Smoltz,J. | -5 | 9 | Greinke,Z. | 4 | |
| 10 | Westbrook,J. | -5 | 10 | Byrd,P. | 4 | |
| 11 | Lincecum,T. | -5 | 11 | Durbin,C. | 4 | |
| 12 | Buehrle,M. | -5 | 12 | Escobar,K. | 3 | |
| 13 | Young,C. | -4 | 13 | Perez,O. | 3 | |
| 14 | Glavine,T. | -4 | 14 | Hamels,C. | 3 | |
| 15 | Hernandez,O. | -4 | 15 | Francis,J. | 3 | |
| 16 | Penny,B. | -3 | 16 | Hernandez,F. | 3 | |
| 17 | Mitre,S. | -3 | 17 | James,C. | 3 | |
| 18 | Williams,W. | -3 | 18 | DiNardo,L. | 3 | |
| 19 | Cook,A. | -3 | 19 | Batista,M. | 3 | |
| 20 | Hernandez,L. | -3 | 20 | Hendrickson,M. | 3 | |
When properly used, Deserved Wins, Expected ERA, Singles % or BHIP, Runners Stranded %, and K/BB ratios are some of the most compelling forecasting tools available.
