UMA - Undervalued Mound Aces.  A situation predicated by a market condition in the fantasy community where: TOP TIER PITCHERS are discounted beyond reasonable ration.  Yes pitchers are more injury prone thus offering less predictability, however they are being

Consistency Factor Consistency Factor: an indicator designed to measure a player's Weekly and/or Daily quality production output using Fantistics Fantasy Production Indicator (FPI). For anyone who has played in a Head to Head league, you probably already know the

Hi Folks, It's time for us to revisit our yearly piece on XERA: As many of you already know, Fantistics uses Sabermetric theories to create our player projections model. These theories are the foundation to our successful forecasting history. One

Hi Folks, The first spring training sites have officially opened! Most importantly player news is starting to trickle in (down below). Before we get to it, lets visit a topic which is possibly related to the decline in offensive production:

Cleveland Indians Prospect C Carlos Santana  Born: 04/08/1986 - Height: 5'11" - Weight: 190 - Bats: Switch - Throws: Right We have recently hit a pretty productive vein of young catchers and Indian's trade of Victor Martinez to the

The Inconsistent Player Several years ago we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. We run and update this piece every season because

Atlanta Braves Prospect OF Jason Heyward  The Braves boast one of baseball's top prospect in 20-year-old Jason Heyward. Already 6-4 220 lbs, Jason won't be 21 until August 9th but the 14th overall pick in the 2007 draft entered

Hi Folks, The player news is fairly slow this time of season as the players don't start arriving to camps until next week. However it's a great time to take a look back and see what's trending. 2010: Say

Hi Folks, Welcome to the start of our 2010 preseason newsletter. Over the next 2 months we'll be discussing a wide range of topics related to fantasy baseball. From draft insight & strategy to minor league prospects....you'll find it here,

"Are all Fantasy Baseball Projections and Rankings the same and or more beneficial than ADP?" Fantistics Player Projections has utilized a time tested forecasting algorithm that has allowed it to maintain its status as a leader in fantasy baseball

Hi Folks, Welcome to the start of the 2010 season! One of the ways I open a new season is by taking a look back at the previous one. Below is the link to the Historical Fantasy Values and some

Marc Rzepczynski has moved up through the Blue Jays system pretty much under the radar. Although considered to be a prospect before the start of the season, everyone including us had him outside of the top 5 prospects in the

Noted and famed Baseball Statistician Bill James recently opened up on the Steroid controversy.  He takes quite an interesting take on the subject (Cooperstown and the ‘Roids), and his conclusion is diametric to what you would expect from the

Hi folks, as we all know the second portion of the season is pivotal in our quest to have an admirable finish. I always say that you need two things to win a fantasy championship: Skill & the absence

With the half way point here, it's time to look at the production (rankings) we expect from the top 300 position players in the second half of 2009. Subscribing to the regression to the mean concept (the statistical term referring

In our continuing series on the the "Over" and "Under" producers, presented is the June Hitter's edition. As we mentioned in the last report, all Major League Players hit hot and cold stretches during the season....and since our first report

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. I want to start this year's Pitcher segment by saying: historically pitchers have a much more difficult

The first 4 weeks of the 2009 Baseball Season are history and as typical there are quite a few players who are struggling and a quite a few who are posting MVP type numbers...but who deserves to be where?  Welcome

Recently I had a discussion with an industry colleague on the trend and effectiveness of passing on the top pitchers in this years draft, despite their discounted prices. I feel that this is a trend that needs to be

Runners Stranded Percentage (RS%) Measures the percentage of batters that reach base but do not score (more specifically, are not credited to a pitcher’s Earned Runs). The average stranded percentage for starters is .71. Pitchers with Stranded Percentages of

Consistency Factor Consistency Factor: an indicator designed to measure a player's Weekly and/or Daily quality production output using Fantistics Fantasy Production Indicator (FPI). For anyone who has played in a Head to Head league, you probably already know the importance

Here's a sweep through some of our handy indicators for the Outfielders. There will be more to analyze in the coming days due to the size of the position. The only position left after this one will be that of

Technical Indicators 3rd basemen Rodriguez, Alex ARod with juice .615 SLG/1.010 OPS...Arod off juice .572/.973...still a darn good player. Wright, David A better hitters background, but Citi Field has TALL walls. Numbers may stagnate in the power department. Longoria,

Hi Folks, Lets go straight to some highlights coming from the camps. Ken Griffey Jr is all about revivals, he signed with the Mariners yesterday. Griffey doesn't have much superstar production left in the tank, but at DH he

A few years ago we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. Consistency Factor gives us an indication of a batter's quality games or

Hi Folks, This morning we take a swing at the top tier catchers in this year's fantasy draft.  Since there is a finite number of positions that must be filled in most fantasy baseball leagues, catchers are and have

Hi Folks, Here's a second swing at a few key technical indicators that are shaping our 2009 pitcher projections.  These along with other player notes can be found in the notes section in the player projections software. In no

Deserved Wins:  One of our simplest Sabermetric formulas is Expected or Deserved Wins. We define Deserved Wins as Quality Starts multiplied by a factor of .74.  Typically a pitcher wins 74% of his Quality Starts (a Quality Start as

Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes where I post a some of the technical indicators that influence our 2009 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes as we kick off the 2009 campaign.

Second Half Rankings Pitchers Edition (Posted 7/02/08)Every season we come across players who unexplainably perform at higher or lower levels during certain periods of the season.  One possible explanation behind the phenomena: second half "positive trends" are due to

With the half way point officially upon us, it's a good time to look at the production (rankings) we expect from the top 300 position players in the second half of 2008. Subscribing to the regression to the mean

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. Please refer to the Batters article for an explanation of the terms used such as FPI (FPI^ =

Under/Over Performing Batters Another April is in the books and as typical there are quite a few players who are in our doghouse and a quite a few players who have the keys to the penthouse...but who deserves to be where?

It's that time of the year again, Preseason Baseball is underway and we'll be carrying the pitcher box scores here every morning. Please be aware that the early preseason box scores can be deceiving. Pitchers, especially veteran pitchers, sometimes

Player Blurbs written by Michael Leone Eric Byrnes – Last year Byrnes had one of the best fantasy seasons among outfielders, but don’t buy into the hype just yet. His singles average was 43 points higher than his three year

Preseason Player Projections - March 28, 2008| article by Michael Berman What do a hand fracture, a chronic bad back, a broken cheek bone and a broken leg have in common? They are all injuries that have kept Nationals 1B

Runners Stranded Percentage (RS%) Runners Stranded Percentage: Measures the percentage of batters that reach base but do not score (more specifically, are not credited to a pitcher’s Earned Runs). The average stranded percentage for starters is .71. Pitchers with

Expected ERA vs Actual ERA Part II Thursday we looked at the pitchers from 2007 who benefited from an ERA which was better "than deserved". This sabermetric formula is based on a statistic developed by researchers Dwight Gill and

As many of you already know, Fantistics uses sabermetric theories to create it's player projections model. These theories are the foundation to our successful forecasting history. One of my favorite forecasting models that we monitor here at Fantistics is

Hi Guys, Here is another round of analytic notes. Again, many of the definitions for the indicators I am mentioning can also be found in our charting area as well.  This morning we take our second swing at the

The luck of the bounce - Balls Hit into Play Success % Balls Hit into Play Success %: defined as the number of balls hit into play that are registered as hits against a pitcher. Much has been written

The Masters of Inconsistency (Player Projections at Risk) Last season we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. Consistency Factor gives us an

Deserved Wins:  We define Deserved Wins as Quality Starts *  .74.  Typically a pitcher wins 74% of his Quality Starts (As a reminder, Quality Starts is defined by Bill James as a start where the pitcher has gone at

Here's an update on an indicator we developed last season: Consistency Factor: an indicator designed to measure a player's Weekly and/or Daily quality production output using Fantistics Fantasy Production Indicator (FPI). For anyone who has played in a Head

Here's a look at the first basemen and some of the indicators used in developing their 2008 projections (these notes can be found in the software as well). In no particular order: Delgado, Carlos Eroding skill set, but decent

Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes this season where I post a few of the technical indicators that influence the 2008 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes. For those new to Fantistics,

Within the player projections software we have a column for player notes this season where I post a few of the technical indicators that influence the 2008 projections, here's the latest round of analytic notes. For those new to Fantistics,

Get your Mock on...our new Mock Draft module may become one of the most addicting fantasy tools that you've ever utilized. Fantasy GMs can now simulate a fantasy draft before draft day while utilizing their specific scoring rules. More

Second Half Rankings Hitters Edition Second Half Rankings Pitchers Edition (Posted 7/07/07) Every season we come across players who unexplainably perform at higher or lower levels during certain periods of the season.  One possible explanation behind the phenomena: second

In our continuing series on player recommendations, today we take a look at the pitchers who are deviating from their projected production. Please refer to the Batters article for an explanation of the terms used such as FPI (FPI^ =

April's Under/Over Performing Batters Another April is almost in the books and as typical there are quite a few players who are in our doghouse and a quite a few players who have the keys to the penthouse...but who deserves to

Preseason Pitcher Box Scores   It's that time of the year again, Preseason Baseball is back and we'll be carrying the pitcher box scores here every morning. Please be aware that the preseason box scores can be deceiving. Pitchers, especially

The D-backs Edgar Gonzalez has pitched extremely well this spring, since March 9th. Gonzalez has pitched 19 Innings, while only allowing 14 baserunners, 3 Earned Runs on 12 Ks. During his  5 year minor league career Edgar posted unspectacular

Quick Pitches: Cubs Wade Miller likely locked a rotation spot on Saturday night when he tossed 5 innings of 3 hit ball. As we've discussed, Miller isn't the same pitcher who won 16 in 2001, his fastball is topping

Sure preseason box scores can be deceiving, especially when we're taking about veteran pitchers or others who are coming into camp with a secure rotation spot. However when we're dealing with young pitchers vying for a starting job, these

With 2 weeks of Spring action in the books, today we'll take a peak at how the young prospects are performing. For veteran players, spring stats are to be ingested but not digested. Veteran players typically take it easy during

New Page 1 3/17/2007 Runs Scored - The Ugly Duckling of Fantasy Baseball Part II Earlier this week we discussed the players who led the league in Runs Scored Percentage. This morning we'll take a look at the guys

HOU Hunter Pence OF - The last thing the Astros expected coming into this spring was another outfield playing time dilemma.  With a cast that already includes Lee/ Scott / Lane / Burke / Hidalgo, Hunter Pence is making a

The Masters of Inconsistency (Player Projections at Risk) Last week we introduced Consistency Factor and it's implications to both Head to Head leagues as well as all Fantasy leagues regardless of their scoring setup. Consistency Factor gives us an

The following news items were collected from each MLB team's Official website, and its impact is updated each morning in our player projections software. O's Daniel Cabrera Starting to Dominate "I'm starting to see all the things that I

Runners Stranded Percentage (RS%) Runners Stranded Percentage: Measures the percentage of batters that reach base but do not score (more specifically, are not credited to a pitcher's Earned Runs). The average stranded percentage for starters is .71. Pitchers with

3/02/2007 Players who have improved physically   Every year we hear about players who come into camp with an improved physique. It sure makes for great chatter around the water cooler, but does it really have an effect on

Here are some press notes from the team beat writers this morning: Tankersley's Shoulder Ailing - Florida's Closer situation wide open Tankersley, Taylor - Fla/RP: As the Palm Beach Post reports, "Already down a starting pitcher, the Marlins opened

Expected ERA vs Actual ERA Expected ERA (XERA) depicts a pitcher's "True ERA" as it bases its expectation on factors within a pitcher's control. These factors include Hits, Walks, Home Runs allowed and K's. When you consider the inequity

Here are some press notes from the team beat writers this morning: Ken Griffey Jr. still on the mend Griffey Jr., Ken - Cin/OF: According to the Cincinnati Enquirer, "Ken Griffey Jr. and Gary Majewski remain the only Reds

Good Day Folks! Today is the start of our daily 2007 Pre-Season Player Projections Blog. Starting today, through the last day of the Spring season (with the exception of Sundays), we'll be making comments on players and adjusting their valuations

A sixth-round pick in 2003, Kevin Kouzmanoff is light on physical tools yet heavy on outstanding numbers. Kouzmanoff hit .330 in 2004 and .339 in 2005, and then made those numbers look downright pathetic after moving up to the

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